Fixture congestion magnifies exposure for clubs in the lower half after a late goal rewrote the arithmetic at London Stadium. Data show the home side on 49 points with seven matches left, a two-point gap that separates them from the relegation bracket.
Callum Wilson’s 92nd-minute finish decided a 2-1 scoreline versus Everton. Set-piece timing and transition tempo converted pressure into contact, and late goals have claimed a larger share of safety-zone points over the past three seasons. Leeds and Forest sit within striking distance, managing depth and form curves while injury lists stretch.
Everton have navigated a congested March with limited rotation options, and squad depth constraints sharpen variance under consecutive matches. West Ham‘s recent record against sides clustered near the foot shows improved defensive stability when pressing late. The cushion is fragile under a compressed calendar, and margins near the foot of the table remain tight. For complete film and table analysis, see Everton stumble late to West Ham as survival hopes fade.