Phil Foden is enduring the most difficult stretch of his senior career at Manchester City, with the England international struggling to recapture the brilliance that made him the 2023-24 PFA Players’ Player of the Year. Through March 2026, Foden has managed just four Premier League goals this season — a sharp fall from the 19 he racked up in that title-winning campaign. The gap between those two versions of the player is becoming harder to ignore.
Pep Guardiola’s City sit fifth in the Premier League table, seven points adrift of the top four with eleven matches left. A Champions League qualification push that looked comfortable in December now feels genuinely fragile. Foden’s output — or lack of it — sits at the centre of that anxiety for supporters and the club’s football operations alike.
How Did Phil Foden Get Here?
Phil Foden’s trajectory from academy prodigy to undisputed City talisman was one of English football’s great stories. Born in Stockport, he came through City’s youth academy structure and made his senior debut under Guardiola in 2017. By 2023-24 he was untouchable — 27 goal contributions in the league, an xG outperformance of roughly 3.2, and a level of progressive ball-carrying that few players in Europe could match. That season felt like the full flowering of a decade of careful development.
The 2024-25 campaign brought the first warning signs. City’s collective drop-off was well documented — Rodri’s long-term knee injury gutted the engine room — but Foden’s personal numbers dipped more sharply than the team’s overall decline suggested they should. Tracking his pressing intensity across those two seasons reveals a pattern: his average pressing actions per 90 minutes fell from 18.4 to 12.7, a drop that hints at either tactical instruction or a physical issue that has never been fully explained publicly. Based on available data, the numbers suggest a player carrying something — fatigue, confidence, or both.
Phil Foden’s 2025-26 Season by the Numbers
Phil Foden’s current campaign statistics make for uncomfortable reading at the Etihad Stadium. Four Premier League goals and three assists in 24 appearances gives him a goal contribution rate of 0.29 per 90 minutes — roughly half his 2023-24 output. His expected goals figure of 5.1 means he is actually underperforming his xG by more than a goal, which points to a finishing issue rather than a chance-creation problem. City’s attacking structure is still finding him in good positions; he is simply not converting.
Breaking down the advanced metrics, Foden’s progressive passes per 90 have held up reasonably well at 6.3, suggesting his involvement in build-up play has not collapsed entirely. The real damage is in the final third. His shots on target percentage has dropped to 28%, compared to 41% in his peak season. Guardiola has experimented with Foden in a deeper left-sided role at times this term, which may explain some of the reduced goal threat — though it also raises questions about whether the manager trusts him to deliver in his natural No. 10 position right now.
City’s front office brass faces a genuine dilemma. Foden is 25 years old, contracted until 2027, and represents one of the club’s most significant long-term assets. Selling or loaning him is not a realistic option — nor should it be. But the coaching staff must decide whether to protect him through rotation or trust him with consistent minutes to play his way back into form. Neither path is without risk.
What Does This Mean for England and Euro 2028?
Phil Foden’s club form directly shapes his England prospects, with Euro 2028 on the horizon and a qualifying campaign already underway. England manager Thomas Tuchel — appointed in October 2024 after Gareth Southgate’s departure following Euro 2024 — has publicly backed Foden, but backing from a manager and a starting spot are two different things. If City’s form does not improve, Foden risks arriving at a major tournament short of match sharpness, which is exactly the scenario that undermined his Euro 2024 performances.
The comparison with Kalvin Phillips is instructive here, even if the situations differ significantly. Phillips’ career stalled badly after his move to City, with limited minutes leaving him short of the form England needed from him. Foden’s case is different — he is still playing — but the principle holds: elite international players need rhythm at club level. A player of Foden’s technical profile, one who thrives on confidence and touch repetition, suffers more than most when that rhythm breaks down.
Key Developments Around Foden and City
- Foden has started just 14 of City’s 24 Premier League matches in 2025-26, with Guardiola rotating him more aggressively than in any previous season of his career.
- City’s xG differential has fallen to +0.31 per game this season — their lowest mark in a Guardiola-era Premier League campaign — providing wider context for Foden’s individual struggles.
- Erling Haaland has also seen his output dip to 14 league goals by mid-March 2026, meaning City’s two primary attacking threats are both underperforming simultaneously, compounding the club’s top-four challenge.
- Foden’s contract runs to the summer of 2027, and City have not yet triggered talks over an extension — a detail that will sharpen into a significant storyline if form does not recover before the season ends.
- City’s next five fixtures include clashes with Arsenal and Liverpool, matches that will either reignite Foden’s season or deepen the pressure on both player and manager heading into the final weeks.
Can Guardiola Unlock Foden Again?
Pep Guardiola has rebuilt players before — Kevin De Bruyne returned from two separate serious knee injuries to perform at the highest level, and Bernardo Silva has reinvented himself tactically multiple times under Guardiola’s guidance. The argument that Guardiola can find the right lever to pull with Foden is reasonable. The counterargument is that Foden’s issue may be psychological rather than tactical, and that is a harder fix for any coaching staff to engineer mid-season.
City’s remaining schedule offers both threat and opportunity. Matches against Arsenal and Liverpool will test the squad’s character, but fixtures against lower-table clubs give Guardiola a chance to hand Foden extended minutes in lower-pressure environments. The film shows a player whose movement off the ball remains sharp — he is still finding pockets, still making the right runs — but the final execution has deserted him. That is the most encouraging sign available right now: the underlying game is intact, even if the end product has gone quiet.
Whether City’s season finishes in the Champions League places or outside them may well hinge on whether the Stockport-born midfielder rediscovers his sharpness over these final eleven matches. For a club built on sustained excellence under Guardiola, a fifth-place finish would represent a jarring reset. Foden’s revival and City’s top-four push are, at this point, essentially the same story.
What is Phil Foden’s current contract situation at Manchester City?
Phil Foden is contracted to Manchester City until the summer of 2027. As of March 2026, the club has not publicly initiated extension talks. Given that players entering the final 18 months of a deal can begin negotiating with foreign clubs under Premier League and FIFA regulations, the coming months will be critical for City’s long-term planning around their academy graduate.
Has Phil Foden played for England under Thomas Tuchel?
Thomas Tuchel took charge of England in October 2024 following Gareth Southgate’s exit after Euro 2024. Foden has been included in Tuchel’s squads but his role has been less central than under Southgate during the 2023-24 peak. Tuchel typically deploys a 4-2-3-1 shape that requires his No. 10 to press aggressively — a demand that suits Foden in top form but exposes him when his energy levels dip.
How does Phil Foden’s 2025-26 form compare to his best Premier League season?
In 2023-24, Foden recorded 19 Premier League goals and eight assists across 35 appearances — a goal contribution rate of approximately 0.73 per 90 minutes. His 2025-26 rate of 0.29 per 90 represents a 60% decline. His shots on target percentage has also dropped from 41% to 28%, pointing to a finishing efficiency problem rather than a structural removal from City’s attacking patterns.
Why did Manchester City’s form decline after 2023-24?
Rodri, City’s Spanish midfield anchor and 2024 Ballon d’Or winner, suffered a serious knee injury in September 2024 that ruled him out for the remainder of that season and into 2025-26. His absence removed the defensive structure and ball-recycling quality that underpins Guardiola’s system. Without Rodri’s 10.2 progressive passes per 90, City’s entire build-up rhythm has been disrupted, affecting forwards including Foden.
Could Phil Foden leave Manchester City in the 2026 summer transfer window?
A departure in summer 2026 would be a major surprise given Foden’s academy roots and his importance to City’s identity. However, with his deal expiring in 2027 and no extension confirmed, elite European clubs — including Real Madrid and Bayern Munich, both historically linked with top Premier League talent — will monitor the situation closely if City miss the Champions League for a second consecutive campaign.